Tell Me a Secret: More than one million Iraqis dead since 2003 invasion: study

Friday, February 01, 2008

More than one million Iraqis dead since 2003 invasion: study

January 30, 2008

— More than one million Iraqis have died because of the war in Iraq since the US-led invasion of the country in 2003, according to a study published Wednesday.

A fifth of Iraqi households lost at least one family member between March 2003 and August 2007 due to the conflict, said data compiled by London-based Opinion Research Business (ORB) and its research partner in Iraq, the Independent Institute for Administration and Civil Society Studies (IIACSS).

The study based its findings on survey work involving the face-to-face questioning of 2,414 Iraqi adults aged 18 or above, and the last complete census in Iraq in 1997, which indicated a total of 4.05 million households.

Respondents were asked how many members of their household, if any, had died as a result of the violence in the country since 2003, and not because of natural causes.

"We now estimate that the death toll between March 2003 and August 2007 is likely to have been in the order of 1,033,000," ORB said in a statement.

The margin of error for the survey was 1.7 percent, making the estimated range between 946,000 and 1.12 million fatalities.

The highest rate of deaths throughout the country occurred in Baghdad, where more than 40 percent of households had lost a family member.

According to a July 2007 estimate by the United States, Iraq's population is around 27 million.

The country has been wracked by conflict since the March 2003 invasion which deposed dictator Saddam Hussein, with United Nations estimates putting the number of displaced people from the conflict at more than four million, nearly half of which have fled to neighbouring countries.

A small number of those refugees have begun returning to Iraq -- around 20,000 arrived from Syria in December -- the Iraqi Red Crescent said earlier this month, suggesting an improved security situation.


Blogger CMAR II said...


So with the Lancet Survey having been exposed as fraudulent, the Opinion Research Business says, "We can make up a lot more deaths than that! All it take is to really REALLY want to imagine Iraqis dead and there they ARE!"

2/01/2008 05:25:00 PM  
Blogger david santos said...

Good weekend.

2/02/2008 11:47:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi Khalid. I specifically made a visit to your blog to see if you'd posted anything about this yet. I heard about it last week - sorry for being a bit lax in getting here after the fact.

I also read that the study, like others of it's kind, did not include the more dangerous provinces of Al-Kerbala and Al-Anbar.

The data seems to be the most up to date so far. The information released by the Iraqi Health Ministry was sadly very old and time has moved on since the respected Lancet study (what planet is CMARII on).

The really interesting thing is, all these studies that have been done show the lives lost to conflict from the war are of a much higher number then those recorded by Iraq Body Count. Iraq Body Count do a good job compiling deaths as they are reported by mainstream media but this really shows that contrary to the claims of some when Iraq Body Count first started, the numbers Iraq Body Count record represent only a fraction of the total number of lives lost.

2/03/2008 05:44:00 AM  
Blogger Jobove - Reus said...

very good blog congratulations
regard from Catalonia Spain
thank you

2/03/2008 07:49:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

hi khalid,
god knows how much i'm sorry not to have written you that f*******g e mail yet, please will you forgive me,
anyway i still read your blog but... nothing about your graduation, shall i continue to pray :) ?

poor irak for that astonishing death rate and number of refugees still growing everyday...
what can we do...
what the bloody hell can we do...
how can american people get prepared to vote for someone who agrees to this war....... have they ever suffered once... i don't understand...

2/10/2008 06:51:00 PM  
Blogger Unknown said...

Hi khalid, i will translate in italian some of your post for my blog. Can i also give you a prize from italian bloggers for the courage of information in a land wasted by war?

2/13/2008 10:14:00 AM  
Blogger bb_aisha said...

When will the madness end...?

2/13/2008 01:29:00 PM  
Blogger Khalid said...

wow its been a while since i have been here!

thanks for all the commentors, and Leyla, instead of being sorry for not sending that fuc**ing email, why dont you sent it?:D hehe, i have proposed to you looong time ago my offer is about to expire! :D

2/13/2008 09:46:00 PM  
Blogger Unknown said...

Sallam Khalid,
Today while doing homework I fit in time for a tragic story about the Darfur genocides (one million in only a few months). Seeing this post again shortly after makes me wonder... just what will history say about Iraq's decimation. She will rise again successfully and be rebuilt, as throughout history. It certainly doesn't make anything better knowing a number of estimated dead... and IDPs, orphans, etc.
My heart goes out to the injured world. It's so daunting and tragic.

Thoughts of Peace,

2/14/2008 08:57:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

why ???? because that f*******g email is supposed to be long and as i changed my job few time ago i've just NO TIME LEFT it's just terrible .... no time to sleep even, argh, if i survive hopefully i'll write few lines in one or two weeks ok ?????


2/15/2008 05:40:00 PM  
Blogger Unknown said...

Hi Khalid, so if you want to take this italian prize you have to visit this blog and to add a html code. If you have problem, i've got to you. I start to translate your post for Italy, ok? Bye

2/19/2008 10:33:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I wouldn't take Francesco "Macchia"'s code if he paid me too.

Your blog, Khalid, is now so well known that you have exceeded the need for awards.

2/20/2008 10:39:00 AM  
Blogger Unknown said...

There is a misandurstanding. This is only a virtual prize from a community of italian blogger.I will give this prize to Khalid only to feel him the solidarity beetwen Italy and Iraq. If Khalid wouldn't this prize is him to tell me, i haven't got this prize to szec starre. My only intention is to translate some posts of this blog for know how is the real life in Iraq today. But to do this i will waiting an answer from Khalid.

2/21/2008 08:15:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...


I thought you might enjoy this:

"Wait, that is an American flag."


2/28/2008 06:58:00 PM  
Blogger Khalid said...

Leyla, send one line, that can be a great start:)

Fransesco my friend, please feel free to translate any parts of the blog as long as you refer to the source:) and i with honor accept your award, but i am afraid i cant put links or banners in my blog, its a policy that i have been sticking to since the beginging, thats why there arent any links except to my family:) and virtual sister RB of course:)

Jeff, indeed! Obama could do it, but only, and onlyyy, because its such a poppular demand now, and that happened only, and onlyyy because of the great losses in money and men.

2/28/2008 09:03:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...


Thanks for not deleting my comment. It's a nice change.

Hey, I'll be satisfied with either McCain or Obama. While I agree that we have spent a bit of money (but we also have a yearly income of 13 trillion dollars), I don't think around 3,000 hostile military deaths in five years is a reason for pulling out of Iraq. No American war, except for Gulf War I, has had so few casualties.

Listen, I would like our troops to come home, just like you, Khalid. But I also would like to see Iraq stabilized before we leave.


2/29/2008 05:04:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...


Sorry, one more question. So was it Raed who said, "Wait, that is an American flag"? Or Majed? I'd love to know.


2/29/2008 05:08:00 AM  
Blogger Unknown said...

Ok Khalid, i respect your decision. I'll translate your post as soon as possible. Good work and a prayer for people who live in Palestina

3/03/2008 09:41:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

No one wants the Americans out of Iraq more than Americans. We, the common, every day American, wants nothing to do with this war...this illegal, unnecessary war. We want our sons and daughters and husbands and wives back home..where they should be. Not is some far off country, where they are not wanted, dying on the streets for people that dont want what they are trying to do. We, the common American, didnt ask for this war and we want it to be over with. Bush and his pals created this nightmare, not the Americans..not the people that are sending our soldiers over there. We dont want to be there and you dont want us there...what is the solution? Stand up for yourselves...fight the fight. Protect your own, demand your government get its act together and start to run that place for the good of the people,instead of stealing the money that should be going to re-construct your country. We do NOT want to be there...we want this to be over with and you can go back to governing your own country. We feel badly for your people and your country, but our government has waged this war, not the people of the USA...
What a mess this is...Peace to all peace loving people.

6/10/2008 08:00:00 PM  
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